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1. 发明申请

US20070168155A1 Statistical-deterministic approach to natural disaster prediction 有权
标题翻译：统计确定性自然灾害预测方法
公开(公告)号：US20070168155A1
公开(公告)日：2007-07-19
申请号：US11388185
申请日：2006-03-23
申请人： Sai Ravela , Kerry Emanuel
发明人： Sai Ravela , Kerry Emanuel
IPC分类号： G01W1/00 , G06F17/18
CPC分类号： G01W1/10 , G06Q10/04 , G06Q50/26 , Y10S706/93 , Y10S706/931
摘要： A combined statistical-deterministic approach to methods and systems for assessing risk associated with natural disasters, in particular, hurricane wind risk. One example of a method of predicting wind speed distribution within a predetermined distance from a point of interest includes steps of statistically synthesizing a large plurality of wind storm tracks that pass within a predetermined radius of the point of interest, running a deterministic simulation of wind intensity along each one of the large plurality of wind storm tracks to produce an output representative of wind speed distribution along each track, and using the output to estimate an overall wind speed probability distribution from a combination of the wind speed distributions along each track within the predetermined distance from the point of interest.
摘要翻译：对用于评估与自然灾害有关的风险的方法和系统的综合统计确定性方法，特别是飓风风险。在距离兴趣点的预定距离内预测风速分布的方法的一个示例包括统计合成在目标点的预定半径范围内通过的大量多个风暴轨道的步骤，运行风强度的确定性模拟沿着每个所述多个风暴轨道中的每一个产生表示沿着每个轨道的风速分布的输出，并且使用所述输出来从所述预定的每个轨道内的每个轨道的风速分布的组合估计总体风速概率分布距离兴趣点的距离。

2. 发明授权

US07734245B2 Statistical-deterministic approach to natural disaster prediction 有权
标题翻译：统计确定性自然灾害预测方法
公开(公告)号：US07734245B2
公开(公告)日：2010-06-08
申请号：US11388185
申请日：2006-03-23
申请人： Sai Ravela , Kerry A. Emanuel
发明人： Sai Ravela , Kerry A. Emanuel
IPC分类号： G01V3/00 , G01V7/00 , G06G7/48 , G09B9/56 , G01S13/00
CPC分类号： G01W1/10 , G06Q10/04 , G06Q50/26 , Y10S706/93 , Y10S706/931
摘要： A combined statistical-deterministic approach to methods and systems for assessing risk associated with natural disasters, in particular, hurricane wind risk. One example of a method of predicting wind speed distribution within a predetermined distance from a point of interest includes steps of statistically synthesizing a large plurality of wind storm tracks that pass within a predetermined radius of the point of interest, running a deterministic simulation of wind intensity along each one of the large plurality of wind storm tracks to produce an output representative of wind speed distribution along each track, and using the output to estimate an overall wind speed probability distribution from a combination of the wind speed distributions along each track within the predetermined distance from the point of interest.
摘要翻译：对用于评估与自然灾害有关的风险的方法和系统的综合统计确定性方法，特别是飓风风险。在距离兴趣点的预定距离内预测风速分布的方法的一个示例包括统计合成在目标点的预定半径范围内通过的大量多个风暴轨道的步骤，运行风强度的确定性模拟沿着每个所述多个风暴轨道中的每一个产生表示沿着每个轨道的风速分布的输出，并且使用所述输出来从所述预定的每个轨道内的每个轨道的风速分布的组合估计总体风速概率分布距离兴趣点的距离。

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