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2. 发明公开

EP2413276A1 Electric power demand/supply planning apparatus and method for the same 审中-公开
标题翻译： / - - 供应计划，并为此方法的电力设备需求
公开(公告)号：EP2413276A1
公开(公告)日：2012-02-01
申请号：EP11175763.9
申请日：2011-07-28
申请人： Kabushiki Kaisha Toshiba
发明人： Kosaka, Yoko , Kobayashi, Takenori , Murakami, Yoshiki , Kusano, Hideo
IPC分类号： G06Q10/00 , G06Q50/00
CPC分类号： G06Q10/06 , G06Q50/06 , Y02E40/76 , Y02P90/84 , Y04S10/54 , Y04S10/545
摘要： In one embodiment, an electric power demand/supply planning apparatus has an initial demand/supply plan creating section, a demand/power generation amount probability density distribution creating section, an economic load dispatch calculating section, and a display section. The initial demand/supply plan creating section creates an initial demand/supply plan of a controllable electric power source in an electric power system into which a natural energy electric power source is introduced, based on a demand predicted value, a predicted value of a natural energy electric power source power generation output amount, and electric power source equipment data. The demand/power generation amount probability density distribution creating section creates a probability density distribution of a demand and a probability density distribution of a natural energy electric power source power generation output amount at every predetermined processing time, by using fluctuation bands of the demand and of the natural energy electric power source power generation output amount which are set in advance. The economic load dispatch calculating section calculates an output allocation to minimize a total fuel cost of the controllable electric power source, based on the initial demand/supply plan created in the initial demand/supply plan creating section, the probability density distribution of the demand and the probability density distribution of the natural energy electric power source power generation output amount which are created in the demand/power generation amount probability density distribution creating section, thereby to create a prediction distribution of a power generation output of the controllable electric power source. The display section displays the prediction distribution of the power generation output of the controllable electric power source created in the economic load dispatch calculating section.
摘要翻译：在一个，电力需求/供应计划装置的实施例具有到初始需求/供应计划生成部分，一个需求/发电量概率密度分布生成对经济负载调度部计算部分，和一个显示部分。初始需求/供应计划生成部分上的可控电源的初始需求/供应计划创建到电力系统到其中的自然能源的电力源被引入，基于需求预测值，天然的预测值能电源发电输出量，和电功率源设备的数据。需求/发电量概率密度分布创建部分创建的要求的概率密度分布，并在每个预定的处理时间的自然能电源发电输出量的概率密度分布，通过使用需求的和的波动带这是在预先设定的自然能电源发电输出量。经济负荷分派计算部计算输出分配，以最小化可控电源的总燃料成本的基础上，在初始需求/供应计划创建部创建，需求的概率密度分布和初始需求/供应计划这是在需求/发电量概率密度分布创建创建部，由此来创建可控电源的发电输出的预测分布的自然能电源发电输出量的概率密度分布。显示部分显示在经济负载调度计算部所创建的可控电源的发电输出的预测分布。

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