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    • 9. 发明授权
    • Modeling decision making processes
    • 建模决策过程
    • US07330841B2
    • 2008-02-12
    • US10634091
    • 2003-08-04
    • Edward L. CochranTodd P. Carpenter
    • Edward L. CochranTodd P. Carpenter
    • G05N5/00
    • G06Q10/00
    • A computer implemented method of predicting decisions uses the knowledge of one or more individuals. The individuals, referred to as a team, are knowledgeable about the domain in which decisions are being made. The team individually rates the importance of decision criteria they deem relevant. They then rate the extent which multiple problem characteristics are deemed relevant to the decision. The ratings are subjected to automated quantitative analysis for consistency, and the raters may discuss and modify inconsistent ratings if appropriate. Once the ratings are accepted, the raters then rate the decision options against the highest scoring problem characteristics as determined in the initial ratings. After one or more further rounds of consistency evaluations, the highest rated options are selected as the prediction of the decision to made by the adversary.
    • 计算机实现的预测方法使用一个或多个个体的知识。 被称为团队的个人对决策所在的领域了如指掌。 团队分别评估他们认为相关的决策标准的重要性。 然后,他们评估多个问题特征被认为与决定相关的程度。 对评级进行自动定量分析以获得一致性,评估者可酌情讨论和修改不一致的评级。 一旦评级被接受,评估者就按照初始评级中确定的最高评分问题特征对决策选项进行评级。 在进行一轮或多次一致性评估之后,选择最高评级的选项作为对手作出的决定的预测。