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1. 发明申请

US20100058249A1 SYSTEM AND METHOD FOR PROVIDING A GRAPHICAL USER INTERFACE FOR PREDICTION MARKETS 审中-公开
标题翻译：用于提供用于预测市场的图形用户界面的系统和方法
公开(公告)号：US20100058249A1
公开(公告)日：2010-03-04
申请号：US12201526
申请日：2008-08-29
申请人： Prasenjit Sarkar , Sharad Goel , David M. Pennock , Daniel Reeves , Yiling Chen , Cong Yu
发明人： Prasenjit Sarkar , Sharad Goel , David M. Pennock , Daniel Reeves , Yiling Chen , Cong Yu
IPC分类号： G06F3/048
CPC分类号： G06Q30/02 , G06Q50/34
摘要： A system for providing a probability output and receiving an input includes a processor and a memory unit in communication with the processor. The memory has processor-executable instructions that configure the processor to provide a user interface having the probability output, wherein the probability output is in a graphical form and receives an input from the user via the user interface, wherein the user provides the input by marking portions of the graphical form of the probability output.
摘要翻译：用于提供概率输出和接收输入的系统包括与处理器通信的处理器和存储器单元。存储器具有处理器可执行指令，其配置处理器以提供具有概率输出的用户界面，其中概率输出是图形形式并且经由用户界面从用户接收输入，其中用户通过标记来提供输入部分图形的概率输出。

2. 发明申请

US20090024510A1 System and method of making markets for a finite subset of orders placed across continuous and countably infinite outcome spaces 有权
标题翻译：使秩序有限的市场的制度和方法跨越连续无限的结果空间
公开(公告)号：US20090024510A1
公开(公告)日：2009-01-22
申请号：US11879940
申请日：2007-07-18
申请人： Yiling Chen , David Myer Pennock
发明人： Yiling Chen , David Myer Pennock
IPC分类号： G06Q40/00 , G06Q99/00
CPC分类号： G06Q40/04 , G06Q30/0283
摘要： An improved system and method is provided for making markets for a finite subset of orders across continuous and countably infinite outcome spaces. To do so, a prediction market engine may be provided to support prediction markets by aggregating information about orders specifying a continuous subspace of a continuous outcome space and orders specifying a subset of a countably infinite set of outcomes. The pricing and/or quantities for orders received may be determined, a response may be sent to traders indicating the pricing or quantities of orders for payment, and the amount owed for accepted orders may be collected. Winning accepted orders may be identified and payout may be made for winning accepted orders. Advantageously, the present invention may support aggregation of more information from market participants in a prediction market to forecast the likelihood of the occurrence of a certain event.
摘要翻译：提供了一种改进的系统和方法，用于在连续且可数无限的结果空间中为有限的订单子集制定市场。为此，可以提供预测市场引擎以通过聚合关于指定连续结果空间的连续子空间的订单的信息以及指定可数无限的结果集的子集的顺序来支持预测市场。可以确定收到的订单的定价和/或数量，可以向交易者发送表示订单付款的定价或数量的回复，并且可以收取所接受订单的金额。可以确定获胜的接受的订单，并且可以支付获胜的接受的订单。有利地，本发明可以支持来自预测市场中的市场参与者的更多信息的聚合，以预测特定事件的发生的可能性。

3. 发明申请

US20090254475A1 PREDICTION MARKET MAKING METHOD AND APPARATUS 审中-公开
标题翻译：预测市场制作方法和装置
公开(公告)号：US20090254475A1
公开(公告)日：2009-10-08
申请号：US12061062
申请日：2008-04-02
申请人： David Pennock , Yiling Chen , Sharad Chandra Goel
发明人： David Pennock , Yiling Chen , Sharad Chandra Goel
IPC分类号： G06Q30/00 , G06Q20/00
CPC分类号： G06Q30/02 , G06Q20/10
摘要： Generally, a method and apparatus for making a prediction-based market including unconventional prediction options to market participants includes determining a prediction framework that includes a plurality of conditional scenarios. The method and apparatus includes calculating realization odds for each of the conditional scenarios using an approximation calculation technique and via an interface, receiving a plurality of predictions associated with selected conditional scenarios, each prediction having an associated value and building the prediction-based market using the predictor. The method and apparatus further includes updating realization odds for each of the conditional scenarios in the prediction framework using the approximation calculation technique and settling the predictions based at least on the updated realization odds.
摘要翻译：通常，用于制作包括市场参与者的非常规预测选项的基于预测的市场的方法和装置包括确定包括多个条件情景的预测框架。所述方法和装置包括使用近似计算技术来计算每个条件情景的实现可能性，并且经由接口，接收与所选条件情景相关联的多个预测，每个预测具有相关联的值并且使用预测因子所述方法和装置还包括使用近似计算技术来更新预测框架中的每个条件情景的实现可能性，并且至少基于更新的实现可能性来确定预测。

4. 发明授权

US08566205B2 System and method of making markets for a finite subset of orders placed across continuous and countably infinite outcome spaces 有权
公开(公告)号：US08566205B2
公开(公告)日：2013-10-22
申请号：US11879940
申请日：2007-07-18
申请人： Yiling Chen , David Myer Pennock
发明人： Yiling Chen , David Myer Pennock
IPC分类号： G06Q40/00
CPC分类号： G06Q40/04 , G06Q30/0283
摘要： An improved system and method is provided for making markets for a finite subset of orders across continuous and countably infinite outcome spaces. To do so, a prediction market engine may be provided to support prediction markets by aggregating information about orders specifying a continuous subspace of a continuous outcome space and orders specifying a subset of a countably infinite set of outcomes. The pricing and/or quantities for orders received may be determined, a response may be sent to traders indicating the pricing or quantities of orders for payment, and the amount owed for accepted orders may be collected. Winning accepted orders may be identified and payout may be made for winning accepted orders. Advantageously, the present invention may support aggregation of more information from market participants in a prediction market to forecast the likelihood of the occurrence of a certain event.

5. 发明申请

US20090164275A1 REVENUE-SHARING TO INCENTIVIZE USERS TO REVEAL ONLINE PURCHASING INTERESTS 审中-公开
标题翻译：收购共同使用者获取在线购买权益
公开(公告)号：US20090164275A1
公开(公告)日：2009-06-25
申请号：US11963595
申请日：2007-12-21
申请人： Yiling Chen , Arpita Ghosh
发明人： Yiling Chen , Arpita Ghosh
IPC分类号： G06Q30/00 , G06Q10/00
CPC分类号： G06Q30/02 , G06Q30/0217 , G06Q30/0251
摘要： The various embodiments of the present invention provide systems and methods to incentivize online users to reveal their online purchasing interests so that advertisements matches their online purchasing interests can be displayed to the users. When users follow the displayed advertisements that match their online purchasing interests to make purchases, users are rewarded by sharing a portion of the advertising (or advertisement) revenue that are related to their online purchases and are collected by the web site(s) that displays the advertisements. The payout for the advertisements by the advertisers to the web site(s) is based on click-per-action (CPA) model, which generally pays more substantially per purchase action. Therefore, the users, who share a portion of the advertisement revenue directly related to their online purchases, can receive more substantial rewards. The reward is mainly monetary (or financial gain) and can come in various forms, such as discount, or credit.
摘要翻译：本发明的各种实施例提供了系统和方法来激励在线用户揭示其在线购买兴趣，使得可以向用户显示与其在线购买兴趣相匹配的广告。当用户按照显示的与他们的在线购买兴趣相匹配的广告来进行购买时，通过分享与其在线购买相关的一部分广告（或广告）收入并由所显示的网站收集的用户获得奖励。广告。广告客户对该网站的广告的支付是基于每次点击费用（CPA）模式，其通常每次购买行动都支付更多的费用。因此，与其在线购买直接相关的一部分广告收入的用户可以获得更多的实质奖励。奖励主要是货币（或经济利益），可以以折扣或信贷等各种形式出现。

6. 发明申请

US20140372342A1 SYSTEM AND METHOD FOR AUTOMATED MARKET MAKING 审中-公开
标题翻译：自动市场制作系统与方法
公开(公告)号：US20140372342A1
公开(公告)日：2014-12-18
申请号：US14116163
申请日：2012-05-07
申请人： Yiling Chen , Jennifer Wortman Vaughan , Jacob Duncan Abernethy
发明人： Yiling Chen , Jennifer Wortman Vaughan , Jacob Duncan Abernethy
IPC分类号： G06Q40/06
CPC分类号： G06Q40/06 , G06Q40/04
摘要： Method and systems for design and operation of a prediction market. A plurality of security bundles and a plurality of payoff vectors may be defined, such that each payoff vector in the plurality of payoff vectors is associated with at least one outcome in a plurality of outcomes. A prediction market engine may be provided for determining a price for each security bundle in the plurality of security bundles by using at least one processor to minimize a convex function over a convex set comprising a convex hull of the plurality of payoff vectors.
摘要翻译：预测市场的设计和运行方法和系统。可以定义多个安全束和多个支付向量，使得多个支付向量中的每个支付向量与多个结果中的至少一个结果相关联。可以提供预测市场引擎，用于通过使用至少一个处理器来确定包括所述多个支付向量的凸包的凸集的凸函数来确定所述多个安全束中的每个安全束的价格。

7. 发明申请

US20080220855A1 System and method for permutation betting 审中-公开
标题翻译：置换投注的系统和方法
公开(公告)号：US20080220855A1
公开(公告)日：2008-09-11
申请号：US11716217
申请日：2007-03-09
申请人： Yiling Chen , Evdokia Velinova Nikolova , David Myer Pennock
发明人： Yiling Chen , Evdokia Velinova Nikolova , David Myer Pennock
IPC分类号： A63F9/24
CPC分类号： G07F17/32
摘要： An improved system and method is provided for permutation betting. To do so, a permutation betting engine may be provided for providing services to support betting on an outcome resulting in an ordinal ranking of objects. Orders specifying a property of an ordering of one or more positions of an object in an ordinal ranking of objects may be received. The quantities for orders to accept may be determined, a response may be sent to traders indicating the quantities of orders for payment, and the amount owed for accepted orders may be collected. Winning accepted orders may be identified and payout may be made for winning accepted orders. Advantageously, the present invention may provide a framework for efficiently optimizing an auctioneer's objective using linear programming for a prediction market where the outcomes of interested events are ordered statistics.
摘要翻译：提供改进的系统和方法用于置换投注。为了这样做，可以提供置换投注引擎来提供服务以支持对导致对象的顺序排序的结果的投注。可以接收在对象的顺序排列中指定对象的一个或多个位置的排序的属性的订单。可以确定接受订单的数量，可以向指示付款订单数量的交易者发送回复，并且可以收取欠接受订单的金额。可以确定获胜的接受的订单，并且可以支付获胜的接受的订单。有利地，本发明可以提供一种框架，用于使用用于预测市场的线性规划有效地优化拍卖者的目标，其中感兴趣事件的结果是有序统计。

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