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    • 4. 发明专利
    • Power transaction contract support system
    • 电力交易合同支持系统
    • JP2006330775A
    • 2006-12-07
    • JP2005148886
    • 2005-05-23
    • Hitachi Ltd株式会社日立製作所
    • MANABE YUJINAKADA TOMOMASAHORII YASUKOKUSAKA SATOSHI
    • G06Q30/06G06Q50/00G06Q50/06
    • PROBLEM TO BE SOLVED: To quantitatively evaluate the economic value of transaction with power consumers from the viewpoint of a power agent in more detail and calculate an optimum contract rate considering the economic value of the transaction. SOLUTION: The power transaction contact support system comprises (1) a database storing the contract rate, contract energy, reliability, address, and power demand result value of each consumer, information such as days of the week or national holidays, and actual weather, highest temperature, lowest temperature, forecasted weather, forecasted highest temperature, and forecasted lowest temperature in each weather observation point; (2) a means 111 calculating an expected income obtained from consumers; (3) a means 112 calculating the magnitude of demand fluctuation of consumers; (4) a means 113 evaluating the magnitude of demand estimation error; (5) a means 116 evaluating the transaction value with consumers based on the information of (1) and the results of (2)-(4); and (6) a means 117 outputting the evaluation result of the transaction value with consumers. COPYRIGHT: (C)2007,JPO&INPIT
    • 要解决的问题:从动力代理的角度对电力消费者的交易经济价值进行定量评估,并根据交易的经济价值计算最优合约利率。 电力交易联系支持系统包括(1)存储每个消费者的合同费率,合同能量,可靠性,地址和电力需求结果值的数据库,诸如星期几或国定假日的信息,以及 实际天气,最高气温,最低气温,预测天气,预测最高气温,以及每个气象观测点预报的最低气温; (2)计算从消费者获得的预期收入的手段111; (3)计算消费者需求波动幅度的手段112; (4)评估需求估计误差幅度的装置113; (5)基于(1)的信息和(2) - (4)的结果,评估与消费者的交易价值的手段116; 和(6)将消费者的交易值的评价结果​​输出的装置117。 版权所有(C)2007,JPO&INPIT
    • 8. 发明专利
    • Power transaction support system and power transaction support program
    • 电力交易支持系统和电力交易支持计划
    • JP2007004646A
    • 2007-01-11
    • JP2005185896
    • 2005-06-27
    • Hitachi Ltd株式会社日立製作所
    • NAKADA TOMOMASAMANABE YUJIKOBAYASHI YASUHIROKUSAKA SATOSHI
    • G06Q50/00G06Q50/06H02J3/00H02J3/46
    • Y02A30/12
    • PROBLEM TO BE SOLVED: To support the preparation of a transaction strategy obtained by taking into consideration a generator set of one's company, and the profit and risk of a transaction position in a power market. SOLUTION: This power transaction support system is provided with: a power price distribution estimating part 301 for storing or receiving power market price data and weather forecast data 221, transaction data 271, power demand data 261, customer data and power cost calculation data and estimating a relation model of the power market price data and the weather forecast data and an error distribution; a fixed probability calculating part 501 for calculating a fixed probability of a power price; a trading profit and loss calculating part 401 for calculating a difference between profit brought about by certain bidding and expected profit when bidding is not performed; a bidding pattern calculating part 701 for calculating a bidding price at which the increment of the expected profit is maximum and a bidding amount, a weather amount distribution estimating part for calculating a weather forecast amount distribution at a certain future point of time; and a business risk calculating part 601 for controlling each estimating part or calculating part so as to repeat processing that seeks profit with an input pattern in which the increment of the profit is maximum and calculating a profit distribution. COPYRIGHT: (C)2007,JPO&INPIT
    • 要解决的问题:支持通过考虑公司发电机组获得的交易策略的准备以及电力市场交易头寸的利润和风险。 解决方案:该电力交易支持系统具有:用于存储或接收电力市场价格数据和天气预报数据221,交易数据271,电力需求数据261,客户数据和功率成本计算的电力价格分布估计部分301 数据和估计电力市场价格数据和天气预报数据的关系模型以及误差分布; 用于计算电价的固定概率的固定概率计算部分501; 用于计算未执行投标时由某些投标带来的利润和预期利润之间的差额的交易损益计算部分401; 投标模式计算部分701,用于计算预期利润增量最大的招标价格和出价金额;用于计算在某一未来时间点的天气预报量分布的天气量分布估计部分; 以及业务风险计算部601,用于控制每个估计部分或计算部分,以便重复利用利润增量最大的输入模式寻求利润的处理,并计算利润分配。 版权所有(C)2007,JPO&INPIT
    • 9. 发明专利
    • Decision method for electric power transaction, its device, and its program
    • 电力交易决策方法及其设备及其程序
    • JP2005176495A
    • 2005-06-30
    • JP2003413051
    • 2003-12-11
    • Hitachi Ltd株式会社日立製作所
    • KAWAMOTO SHIGERUTAKAMOTO MASANORIMANABE YUJINAKADA TOMOMASAKOBAYASHI YASUHIROKOYANAGI ASAKO
    • G06Q50/00G06Q50/06H02J3/00H02J3/46G06F17/60
    • Y02E40/76Y04S10/545Y04S10/60
    • PROBLEM TO BE SOLVED: To provide a decision method for electric power transaction by which the trade-off relation between profits and risks can be quantatively grasped by quantatively grasping the effects to the profits of a power supplier caused by an uncertain factor in order to maximize the utility of the power supplier. SOLUTION: The decision method for electric power transaction is composed of a procedure, in which a computer having an information storage means stores the information regarding power demand properties of a customer, a procedure for storing the information regarding business profits, a procedure for acquiring an index value indicating the relation of the trade-off between the profits and the risks, a procedure for acquiring constraint conditions regarding power supply, a procedure for deriving a customer portfolio, which maximizes a utility function including a term regarding the risks and the profits by formulating the utility function on the basis of the stored information and the index value, under the constraint conditions by using a prescribed optimizing method, and a procedure for outputting the derived optimum customer portfolio. COPYRIGHT: (C)2005,JPO&NCIPI
    • 要解决的问题:提供电力交易的决策方法,通过定量地掌握由不确定因素引起的对供电商利润的影响,可以量化利润与风险之间的权衡关系 以最大化电力供应商的效用。 解决方案:电力交易的决策方法由具有信息存储装置的计算机存储关于顾客的电力需求属性的信息,存储关于商业利润的信息的程序,程序 用于获取指示利润和风险之间的权衡关系的指标值,获得关于供电的约束条件的过程,导出客户投资组合的过程,其使包括关于风险的术语最大化的效用函数最大化;以及 通过使用规定的优化方法,在约束条件下,根据所存储的信息和指标值,制定效用函数的利润,以及输出得到的最优客户组合的程序。 版权所有(C)2005,JPO&NCIPI