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    • 5. 发明申请
    • Remaining life prediction for individual components from sparse data
    • 从稀疏数据中对各个组件进行剩余寿命预测
    • US20070239407A1
    • 2007-10-11
    • US11653067
    • 2007-01-12
    • Neil GoldfineVladimir ZilbersteinVolker WeissYanko Sheiretov
    • Neil GoldfineVladimir ZilbersteinVolker WeissYanko Sheiretov
    • G06F17/10
    • G01N27/82F05B2270/109F05B2270/404G01B7/34G06N7/005
    • Predicting the remaining life of individual aircraft, fleets of aircraft, aircraft components and subpopulations of these components. This is accomplished through the use of precomputed databases of response that are generated from a model for the nonlinear system behavior prior to the time that decisions need to be made concerning the disposition of the system. The database is calibrated with a few data points, to account for unmodeled system variables, and then used with an input variable to predict future system behavior. These methods also permit identification of the root causes for observed system behavior. The use of the response databases also permits rapid estimations of uncertainty estimates for the system behavior, such as remaining life estimates, particularly, when subsets of an input variable distribution are passed through the database and scaled appropriately to construct the output distribution. A specific example is the prediction of remaining life for an aircraft component where the model calculates damage evolution, input variables are a crack size and the number of cycles, and the predicted parameters are the actual stress on the component and the remaining life.
    • 预测个别飞机,飞机机队,飞机部件和这些部件的子群体的剩余寿命。 这是通过使用预先计算的响应数据库来实现的,该数据库是在关于系统的配置的决定之前从非线性系统行为的模型生成的。 数据库使用几个数据点进行校准,以解释未建模的系统变量,然后与输入变量一起使用以预测未来的系统行为。 这些方法还允许识别观察到的系统行为的根本原因。 响应数据库的使用还允许对系统行为的不确定性估计的快速估计,例如剩余寿命估计,特别是当输入变量分布的子集通过数据库并适当地缩放以构建输出分布时。 一个具体的例子是对模型计算损伤演化的飞机部件的剩余寿命的预测,输入变量是裂纹尺寸和循环次数,预测参数是组件上的实际应力和剩余寿命。