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    • 4. 发明申请
    • MARKOV DECISION PROCESS-BASED DECISION SUPPORT TOOL FOR RESERVOIR DEVELOPMENT PLANNING
    • 基于MARKOV决策过程的决策支持工具用于储备开发计划
    • WO2009128972A1
    • 2009-10-22
    • PCT/US2009/032736
    • 2009-01-30
    • EXXONMOBIL UPSTREAM RESEARCH COMPANYGOEL, VikasFURMAN, Kevin, C.
    • GOEL, VikasFURMAN, Kevin, C.
    • G06F15/18
    • G06Q10/04G01V99/00G06Q10/06
    • A Markov decision process-based support tool for reservoir development planning can comprise a source of input data, an optimization model, a high fidelity model for simulating the reservoir, and one or more solution routines interfacing with the optimization model. The optimization model can consider unknown parameters having uncertainties directly within the optimization model. The model incorporates the flexibility that a decision-maker has in the real world and allows the decision-maker to adjust the decisions based on new information. The model can systematically address uncertain data, for example comprehensively or even taking all uncertain data into account. Accordingly, the optimization model can provide flexible or robust solutions that remain feasible over an uncertainty space. Once the reservoir model is optimized, final development plans may be generated.
    • 用于油藏开发规划的基于马尔柯夫决策过程的支持工具可以包括输入数据源,优化模型,用于模拟油藏的高保真模型,以及与优化模型接口的一个或多个解决方案。 优化模型可以直接在优化模型中考虑具有不确定性的未知参数。 该模型结合了决策者在现实世界中的灵活性,并允许决策者根据新的信息调整决策。 该模型可以系统地处理不确定的数据,例如全面或甚至考虑所有不确定的数据。 因此,优化模型可以提供在不确定性空间上保持可行的灵活或可靠的解决方案。 一旦水库模型被优化,可能会产生最终的开发计划。