
基本信息:
- 专利标题: 一种母线负荷预测方法
- 专利标题(英):Bus load prediction method
- 申请号:CN201610812339.0 申请日:2016-09-09
- 公开(公告)号:CN106485262A 公开(公告)日:2017-03-08
- 发明人: 孟强 , 王一蓉 , 郝悍勇 , 张建 , 杜朝晖 , 吴润泽 , 邓伟 , 杨松楠 , 范军丽 , 包正睿
- 申请人: 国网山西省电力公司晋城供电公司 , 国家电网公司 , 北京国电通网络技术有限公司 , 华北电力大学
- 申请人地址: 山西省晋城市新市东街1号
- 专利权人: 国网山西省电力公司晋城供电公司,国家电网公司,北京国电通网络技术有限公司,华北电力大学
- 当前专利权人: 国网山西省电力公司晋城供电公司,国家电网有限公司北京中电飞华通信有限公司华北电力大学
- 当前专利权人地址: 山西省晋城市新市东街1号
- 代理机构: 北京风雅颂专利代理有限公司
- 代理人: 李莎; 李弘
- 主分类号: G06K9/62
- IPC分类号: G06K9/62
The invention discloses a bus load prediction method. The method comprises the following steps: correcting abnormal values in historical load data by use of a transverse comparison method, and determining key influence factors of bus load by use of a grey relation projection method; putting load curves with similar features in the same category by use of an improved K-Means clustering method to get a plurality of typical load patterns, building a random forest classification model, and establishing the mapping relationship between influence factors and clustering results; for each load pattern, training a plurality of prediction models by use of a multivariate linear regression method; and determining the category of a day under test, and selecting a matching regression model to realize load prediction. A data mining method is introduced to analyze the changing rules of bus load, and a prediction model library is built. Model matching is realized based on the category of a day under test. The accuracy and real-time performance of short-term bus load prediction are improved. More accurate decision support is provided for power grid planning and real-time dispatching.
公开/授权文献:
- CN106485262B 一种母线负荷预测方法 公开/授权日:2020-02-07
IPC结构图谱:
G | 物理 |
--G06 | 计算;推算;计数 |
----G06K | 数据识别;数据表示;记录载体;记录载体的处理 |
------G06K9/00 | 用于阅读或识别印刷或书写字符或者用于识别图形,例如,指纹的方法或装置 |
--------G06K9/62 | .应用电子设备进行识别的方法或装置 |