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    • 1. 发明申请
    • RAILWAY TRACK GEOMETRY DEFECT MODELING FOR PREDICTING DETERIORATION, DERAILMENT RISK, AND OPTIMAL REPAIR
    • 铁路轨迹几何预测建模,预测风险和最佳维修
    • WO2014110099A2
    • 2014-07-17
    • PCT/US2014/010628
    • 2014-01-08
    • INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CORPORATION
    • BHATTACHARJYA, DebarunHAMPAPUR, ArunHE, QingLI, HongfeiPARIKH, Dhaivat P.
    • B61K9/08B61L23/042B61L27/0055B61L27/0088G06F17/5009G06Q10/06G06Q10/0635
    • Geo-defect repair modeling is provided. A method includes logically dividing a railroad network according to spatial and temporal dimensions with respect to historical data collected. The spatial dimensions include line segments of a specified length and the temporal dimensions include inspection run data for inspections performed for each of the line segments over a period of time. The method also includes creating a track deterioration model from the historical data, identifying geo-defects occurring at each inspection run from the track deterioration model, calculating a track deterioration condition from the track deterioration model by analyzing quantified changes in the geo-defects measured at each inspection run, and calculating a derailment risk based on track conditions determined from the inspection run data and the track deterioration condition. The method further includes determining a repair decision for each of the geo-defects based on the derailment risk and costs associated with previous comparable repairs.
    • 提供了地质缺陷修复建模。 一种方法包括根据收集的历史数据根据空间和时间维度逻辑地划分铁路网络。 空间维度包括指定长度的线段,并且时间维度包括在一段时间内为每个线段执行检查的检查运行数据。 该方法还包括根据历史数据创建轨道退化模型,从轨道退化模型中识别在每个检验运行中发生的地理缺陷,通过分析在轨迹退化模型中测量的地质缺陷的量化变化, 每次检查运行,并根据从检查运行数据和轨道劣化状况确定的轨道条件计算脱轨风险。 该方法还包括基于脱轨风险和与先前相似维修相关联的成本来确定每个地理缺陷的修复决策。