
基本信息:
- 专利标题: 基于历史分段序列搜索和时序稀疏化的风电功率预测方法
- 专利标题(英):History segmented sequence search and time sequence rarefaction-based wind power forecast method
- 申请号:CN201810561013.4 申请日:2018-06-04
- 公开(公告)号:CN108549962A 公开(公告)日:2018-09-18
- 发明人: 叶林 , 赵永宁 , 王伟胜 , 刘纯 , 王铮
- 申请人: 中国农业大学 , 中国电力科学研究院有限公司
- 申请人地址: 北京市海淀区圆明园西路2号
- 专利权人: 中国农业大学,中国电力科学研究院有限公司
- 当前专利权人: 中国农业大学,中国电力科学研究院有限公司
- 当前专利权人地址: 北京市海淀区圆明园西路2号
- 代理机构: 北京卫平智业专利代理事务所
- 代理人: 谢建玲; 郝亮
- 主分类号: G06Q10/04
- IPC分类号: G06Q10/04 ; G06Q50/06
The invention discloses a history segmented sequence search and time sequence rarefaction-based wind power forecast method. The method comprises the following steps of: normalizing wind power historydata and determining window width optimum values of searched segmented time sequences according to power time sequence fluctuation features and basic statistical characteristics; calculating matchingdegrees between all the history segmented time sequence and a segmented time sequence at the current moment by taking the newest segmented time sequence at the current moment as a standard and synthesizing a correlation index and a similarity distance index; sorting the matching degrees according to a big-to-small sequence, and determining a number of optimum history segmented sequences accordingto an average matching degree aggregation principle; aiming the current segmented time sequence at each moment, determining a number of corresponding optimum history segmented sequences and a number of corresponding optimum average history segmented sequences; aiming at all the moments for training the time sequences, establishing a time sequence rarefaction-based power forecast model; and solvingthe model by adoption of a multiplier alternating direction method to obtain parameters of the model, wherein the parameters are used for future power forecast.
公开/授权文献:
- CN108549962B 基于历史分段序列搜索和时序稀疏化的风电功率预测方法 公开/授权日:2020-10-09