![一种短时电力负荷预测的方法及装置](/CN/2017/1/154/images/201710770943.jpg)
基本信息:
- 专利标题: 一种短时电力负荷预测的方法及装置
- 专利标题(英):Short time electric power load prediction method and device
- 申请号:CN201710770943.6 申请日:2017-08-31
- 公开(公告)号:CN107506868A 公开(公告)日:2017-12-22
- 发明人: 王星华 , 鲁迪 , 彭显刚 , 贺小平 , 郑伟钦
- 申请人: 广东工业大学
- 申请人地址: 广东省广州市越秀区东风东路729号大院
- 专利权人: 广东工业大学
- 当前专利权人: 广东工业大学
- 当前专利权人地址: 广东省广州市越秀区东风东路729号大院
- 代理机构: 北京集佳知识产权代理有限公司
- 代理人: 罗满
- 主分类号: G06Q10/04
- IPC分类号: G06Q10/04 ; G06N3/04 ; G06N3/08 ; G06Q50/06
The invention discloses a short time electric power load prediction method and device. The short time electric power load prediction method predicts an electric power load through integrating quantile regression and robustness extreme learning and using a hybrid prediction model established after optimizing a hybrid particle swamp algorithm (PSOGSA). The quantile regression uses multiple quantiles of history electric power data influence factors to obtain a quantile equation corresponding to a conditional distribution of electric power load prediction data of sometime in the future; stochastic disturbance of electric power data inputted in quantile regression can describe statistic distribution of prediction load values in detail without the need of making any hypothesis on distribution, which makes the whole prediction model strong in robustness; the robustness extreme learning machine is more robust in an abnormal load value; and the electric power load can be predicted by combining the two methods and using a hybrid model formed after optimizing the PSOGSA. The invention also provides a short time electric power load prediction device having the same beneficial effects.
公开/授权文献:
- CN107506868B 一种短时电力负荷预测的方法及装置 公开/授权日:2021-01-26