![汛期分期风险定量评价方法](/CN/2017/1/78/images/201710393819.jpg)
基本信息:
- 专利标题: 汛期分期风险定量评价方法
- 专利标题(英):Flood season division risk quantitative evaluation method
- 申请号:CN201710393819.2 申请日:2017-05-27
- 公开(公告)号:CN107239656A 公开(公告)日:2017-10-10
- 发明人: 潘正可 , 刘攀 , 高仕达 , 冯茂源
- 申请人: 武汉大学
- 申请人地址: 湖北省武汉市武昌区珞珈山武汉大学
- 专利权人: 武汉大学
- 当前专利权人: 武汉大学
- 当前专利权人地址: 湖北省武汉市武昌区珞珈山武汉大学
- 代理机构: 武汉科皓知识产权代理事务所
- 代理人: 俞琳娟
- 主分类号: G06F19/00
- IPC分类号: G06F19/00
The invention provides a flood season division risk quantitative evaluation method. The flood season division risk quantitative evaluation method is characterized by comprising the following steps of 1, sampling the largest flood of a main flood season and a non-flood season in a history sequence; 2, selecting a random variable marginal probability distribution model; 3, deducing a largest flood expression mode of two divided seasons, including a main flood season and a non-main-flood season, which possibly occurs in the whole history sequence time length and a corresponding accumulative probability density function; 4, quantifying the risk that the occurrence of a flood in the non-main-flood season exceeds that in the main flood season, and solving a specific expression formula. The flood season division risk quantitative evaluation method can be widely applied to water resource management practices, the flood risk of all season division schemes can be quantitatively evaluated, and therefore scientific technical support is provided for flood risk evaluation and flood resourcefulness of a river flood season division scheme.