基本信息:
- 专利标题： 一种适用于负荷高峰时段的日内火电机组开机决策方法
- 专利标题（英）：Intraday thermal power unit starting decision making method suitable for load peak hours
- 申请号：CN201510632497.3 申请日：2015-09-29
- 公开(公告)号：CN105184509A 公开(公告)日：2015-12-23
- 发明人： 燕京华 , 许丹 , 刘芳 , 戴赛 , 蔡帜 , 丁强 , 李伟刚 , 黄国栋 , 朱泽磊 , 胡晨旭 , 张加力 , 闫翠会 , 张传成 , 董炜 , 孙振 , 朱翊 , 刘鹏
- 申请人： 中国电力科学研究院 , 国家电网公司
- 申请人地址： 北京市海淀区清河小营东路15号
- 专利权人： 中国电力科学研究院,国家电网公司
- 当前专利权人： 中国电力科学研究院,国家电网公司
- 当前专利权人地址： 北京市海淀区清河小营东路15号
- 代理机构： 北京安博达知识产权代理有限公司
- 代理人： 徐国文
- 主分类号： G06Q10/06
- IPC分类号： G06Q10/06 ; G06Q50/06
The invention provides an intraday thermal power unit starting decision making method suitable for load peak hours. The method comprises the following steps: analyzing characteristics of a peak load curve of a region, establishing a functional relationship, and carrying out parameter estimation; calculating the maximum load Lc which can be borne; when a maximum load Lm exceeds Lc, calculating the relationship between an excessive electric quantity Qm of Lm and Lm; analyzing the maximum intraday load prediction relative error w and obtaining a probability density function thereof; calculating the relationship between Qm and w; calculating the expectation of Qm according to the probability density function of w; calculating the expectations of scheduling costs of starting more thermal power units and not starting any thermal power unit; and comparing the expectations of the scheduling costs, and making thermal power unit starting decisions at load peak hours. The method avoids poor accuracy caused by the fact that the expectation of the relative error is not zero. The method facilitates making thermal power unit starting decisions on the basis of statistical analysis.