
基本信息:
- 专利标题: 一种基于智能算法优化组合的电网负荷率预测方法
- 专利标题(英):Power network load factor prediction method based on intelligent algorithm optimization combination
- 申请号:CN201510241100.8 申请日:2015-05-13
- 公开(公告)号:CN104834975A 公开(公告)日:2015-08-12
- 发明人: 王学军 , 张军 , 张振高 , 李慧 , 刘艳霞 , 何永秀 , 李大成 , 张吉祥
- 申请人: 国家电网公司 , 国网天津市电力公司 , 华北电力大学
- 申请人地址: 天津市河北区五经路39号
- 专利权人: 国家电网公司,国网天津市电力公司,华北电力大学
- 当前专利权人: 国家电网公司,国网天津市电力公司,华北电力大学
- 当前专利权人地址: 天津市河北区五经路39号
- 代理机构: 天津才智专利商标代理有限公司
- 代理人: 庞学欣
- 主分类号: G06Q10/04
- IPC分类号: G06Q10/04 ; G06Q50/06
Disclosed is a power network load factor prediction method based on intelligent algorithm optimization combination. According to the method, first of all, based on such means of Granger examination and the like, numerous factors related to load factors are screened and left under the condition that no information is omitted, and the analysis accuracy of the load factor-related factors and the predication precision of the load factors are guaranteed. When the load factors are predicted, such intelligent algorithms of an RBF nerve network, a GRNN nerve network, an SVR algorithm and the like are taken into consideration, the advantages of less omitted information, less attention to internal relations, high prediction precision and the like of an intelligent algorithm are brought into full play compared to a conventional prediction method, and multiple prediction results are optimized and combined by use of a genetic algorithm so as to further improve the prediction precision. The method provided by the invention can be used for load factor precision of different time scopes such as year, month, date and the like, can also be applied to the load factor prediction of such classified users as large industrial users, residential users and the like, and provides certain theoretical support for research correlated with a load factor price.