![风功率预测模型优选及修正方法](/CN/2013/1/70/images/201310354431.jpg)
基本信息:
- 专利标题: 风功率预测模型优选及修正方法
- 申请号:CN201310354431.3 申请日:2013-08-15
- 公开(公告)号:CN103473438B 公开(公告)日:2018-07-31
- 发明人: 王玮 , 金国刚 , 屈富敏 , 付嘉渝 , 傅铮 , 张柏林 , 李晓晶 , 王福军 , 崔刚 , 陈新
- 申请人: 国家电网公司 , 甘肃省电力公司 , 中国电力科学研究院
- 申请人地址: 北京市西城区西长安街86号
- 专利权人: 国家电网公司,甘肃省电力公司,中国电力科学研究院
- 当前专利权人: 国家电网公司,甘肃省电力公司,中国电力科学研究院
- 当前专利权人地址: 北京市西城区西长安街86号
- 代理机构: 北京中恒高博知识产权代理有限公司
- 代理人: 刘洪京
- 主分类号: G06Q10/04
- IPC分类号: G06Q10/04 ; G06Q50/06 ; G06F17/50
The invention discloses a method for optimizing and correcting wind power prediction models, comprising the steps of selecting actual wind power values and prediction models, analyzing the association between the wind powers and the predicted wind powers and correcting the selected models. According to the method for optimizing and correcting the wind power prediction models, the fitting degree of the prediction models to actual wind power curves is evaluated according to the association degree, so that the advantages and disadvantages of the prediction models are evaluated; therefore, wind power plants in various regions are provided with an inspection basis for the selection of the prediction models according to the change characteristic of wind electricity output power of this region; moreover, error statistic analysis is implemented on the optimized prediction models and linear regression fitting is implemented on optimized original power prediction models, so that the corrected prediction models are obtained; therefore, the purpose of decreasing the prediction errors of the wind power prediction models is realized.
公开/授权文献:
- CN103473438A 风功率预测模型优选及修正方法 公开/授权日:2013-12-25