
基本信息:
- 专利标题: 一种区域内风电总功率的预测方法
- 专利标题(英):Prediction method of total wind electricity power in area
- 申请号:CN201210250429.7 申请日:2012-07-19
- 公开(公告)号:CN102938562A 公开(公告)日:2013-02-20
- 发明人: 陈志宝 , 陈颖 , 程序 , 周海 , 丁杰 , 曹潇 , 崔方 , 谭志萍 , 王知嘉 , 于炳霞 , 丁宇宇 , 周强
- 申请人: 中国电力科学研究院 , 国家电网公司
- 申请人地址: 北京市海淀区清河小营东路15号
- 专利权人: 中国电力科学研究院,国家电网公司
- 当前专利权人: 中国电力科学研究院,国家电网公司
- 当前专利权人地址: 北京市海淀区清河小营东路15号
- 代理机构: 北京安博达知识产权代理有限公司
- 代理人: 徐国文
- 主分类号: H02J3/00
- IPC分类号: H02J3/00
The invention belongs to the technical field of wind power generation power prediction and relates to a prediction method of total wind electricity power facing to an area. The method includes step one, selecting represented wind power stations in the area, and further obtaining an output power predicted value of each represented wind power station; step two, establishing mapping models by a radial basis function neural network, and computing a total wind electricity power predicted value in the area according to the output power predicted value of each represented wind power station; and step three, outputting the total wind electricity power predicted value in the area. The prediction method has the advantages that the usage and the operation are convenient, the input and output are simple, the prediction accuracy is high, the error is small, the expandability is good, the application is flexible and the like, and when the predicted power of the represented wind power stations is known, the total wind electricity power predicted value in the area can be directly computed by the mapping models; and when the predicted power of the represented wind power stations is unknown, the mapping models can access to the presented wind power stations, the mapping models can be driven by numerical weather prediction (NWP) data of the represented wind power stations, and the total wind electricity power predicted value in the area can be further computed.
公开/授权文献:
- CN102938562B 一种区域内风电总功率的预测方法 公开/授权日:2015-07-08
IPC结构图谱:
H | 电学 |
--H02 | 发电、变电或配电 |
----H02J | 供电或配电的电路装置或系统;电能存储系统 |
------H02J3/00 | 交流干线或交流配电网络的电路装置 |